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'Missing' 90-year-olds
London, UK : International longevity Center-UK, 2014, [5 p.].

http://www.ilcuk.org.uk/images/uploads/publication-pdfs... (20-01-2015)
Collection : Population patterns Seminar Series
Format de fichier : Adobe Acrobat PDF
Droits d'auteur : Cette oeuvre est protégée par un droit d'auteur. Elle ne peut être reproduite qu'à des fins d'études privées ou de recherche et seulement si la source est mentionnée.

Lieux géographiques
: Royaume-Uni

Mots-clés principaux
:
Statistiques démographiques
Espérance de vie
Recensement
Source de données démographiques et médicales


Résumé :

The twentieth century saw life expectancy in the UK rise dramatically due to improvements in public health, nutrition and medicine. As a result more people are living into their 90's than ever before. However, a recent analysis of the 2011 census for England & Wales revealed that the growth of this age group has actually been slower than predicted, with around 30,000 fewer people aged 90 and above than previously thought.

The discovery of 'missing' members of the oldest generations is not just a UK phenomenon. Similar patterns have been observed elsewhere, most notably in the United States where the 2010 census counted less than half the number of predicted centenarians.

This brief, which was developed out of the discussions held at the Population Patterns event, suggests that the 'missing' 90 year olds could have resulted from the relatively small size of the 90+ cohort leading to a magnification of errors in the Census data. The brief highlights how this uncertainty about the data has an impact on not just our understanding of older people, but on state expenditure and spending by private companies, particularly those operating in the financial services sector.

The brief goes on to provide possible solutions, developed from the event discussions, which would help to ensure the accurate collection and verification of data, including:

The use of multiple external and private data sources alongside the Census could help to verify the ages of the oldest old and reduce errors.
The government must continue trends of open access to data to ensure accuracy of the oldest old data.
The government should consider validating a proportion of data collected on those aged 90+ in the Census to ensure accuracy and account for marginal errors.

Langue : Anglais
Doc n° : 31551
NumRec : 6853503
31551.pdf
31551.pdf
 

       

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